The United States and India are on the verge of finalizing a trade deal that could significantly boost their bilateral economic relationship. Optimism is high on both sides, with the US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently expressing confidence that an agreement could be reached in the "not-too-distant future." These sentiments align with those of India's Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal, who stated that both countries are committed to working together and providing preferential access to each other's businesses.
The proposed trade agreement aims to more than double the bilateral trade between the two nations, reaching $500 billion by 2030. This ambitious goal, dubbed "Mission 500," reflects the shared desire to deepen economic ties. The US currently stands as India's main trading partner, with two-way trade reaching $131.84 billion in 2024-25. India constitutes approximately 18% of the US's overall goods exports, 6.22% in imports and 10.73% of the nation's total merchandise trade.
Negotiations are at an advanced stage, and both countries are actively working to finalize the agreement. The US is focused on improving market access and reducing trade deficits, while India is seeking privileged access to American markets. A key point of discussion is India's request for a complete exemption from the 26% reciprocal tariff imposed by the United States on its goods.
This potential trade deal comes at a time when both countries' leaders, US President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, share a vision of strategic nationalism. Modi has introduced the idea of "MIGA" (Make India Great Again), inspired by Trump's "MAGA" slogan, suggesting that the two nations can achieve a "MEGA" partnership for prosperity.
While there are areas of convergence, some challenges remain. The US has expressed concerns about India's historically high import tariffs and is pushing for a fairer system that supports true trade partnerships. India, on the other hand, seeks duty reductions on labor-intensive sectors such as textiles, gems and jewellery.
Despite these challenges, the commitment from both sides to resolve trade imbalances and enhance economic cooperation is evident. With the right representatives at the table and a shared vision for the future, the India-US trade deal is poised to become a reality, unlocking new opportunities for growth and prosperity in both nations.