Zerodha co-founder Nikhil Kamath recently sparked a debate by suggesting that energy and electrons could potentially replace traditional currencies within the next decade. This bold prediction stems from the exponential growth of data centers and artificial intelligence (AI), both of which are heavily reliant on massive energy consumption.
Data centers, the backbone of the digital world, are essentially vast warehouses filled with servers that store and manage the ever-increasing volume of online data. From streaming videos to processing online payments and training complex AI models, these centers operate around the clock, consuming immense amounts of electricity for computing and cooling. Currently, electricity accounts for a staggering 65% of a data center's operating costs. To put this into perspective, a single new data center can consume more electricity annually than 400,000 electric vehicles.
Globally, data centers currently account for approximately 1.5% of total energy consumption, and this figure is projected to surge to 10% by 2030. In the United States, data center energy consumption stood at 4.4% in 2023 and is expected to reach 12% by 2028. This escalating demand for energy underscores the critical role that energy plays in the digital economy.
The rise of AI further intensifies this demand. A single query on a generative AI platform like ChatGPT consumes ten times more energy than a standard Google search. As AI technologies become more integrated into various aspects of life, from business operations to personal assistance, the energy requirements will continue to skyrocket.
Kamath envisions a future where energy and electrons become a new form of global currency, driven by the data center and AI boom. India's generative AI market, for example, is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28% through 2030, which will significantly boost the data center industry. Several companies, including Netmagic, STTelemedia, Nxtra, CtrlS, Sify, and Yotta, are already at the forefront of this expansion.
However, this transition is not without its challenges. Balancing the rapid growth of data and AI with environmental sustainability is a key concern. Currently, only 27% of data center energy in India comes from clean sources, while the global target is to reach 50% by 2030. This highlights the urgent need for greater investment in renewable energy sources to power the digital infrastructure.
Despite these challenges, there is robust policy support for the growth of the data center industry in India, including initiatives like the India AI Mission and 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) allowance. The economic potential is also significant, with generative AI expected to add $400 billion to India's GDP by the end of the decade.
While the idea of energy and electrons becoming a currency might seem far-fetched, the increasing reliance on data centers and AI, coupled with their massive energy consumption, suggests a future where energy resources could play a more prominent role in the global economy. It remains to be seen how this transition might unfold, but the convergence of technology, energy, and economics is certainly creating a new and intriguing landscape.