Here's an article discussing the pros and cons of the Edmonton Oilers' Trent Frederic extension:
The Edmonton Oilers recently signed Trent Frederic to an eight-year contract extension with an average annual value (AAV) of $3.85 million. This move has generated considerable discussion among fans and analysts, given Frederic's performance history and the Oilers' overall salary cap situation. While the extension demonstrates the Oilers' commitment to Frederic and what they believe he can bring to the team, it also carries potential risks.
Pros
- Versatility and Physicality: Trent Frederic brings a blend of skill and physicality to the Oilers' lineup. He has the size (6'3", 220 lbs) and skating ability to be an effective checking forward. Frederic is known for his willingness to engage physically, making him a valuable asset in tight games. His hitting ability and strength are notable aspects of his game. This physical presence can be crucial in wearing down opponents and protecting skilled players.
- Potential for Offensive Upside: While not considered an elite scorer, Frederic has shown potential for offensive contributions. In the 2023-24 season with the Boston Bruins, he recorded a career-high 18 goals and 40 points. Although his offensive production declined before being traded to Edmonton, the Oilers are betting on him rediscovering his scoring touch. His underlying numbers suggest he has the potential to contribute more offensively, especially if given opportunities in the top-six.
- Long-Term Stability and Team Culture: The eight-year extension provides Frederic with long-term stability and allows him to further integrate into the Oilers' system. He is also noted for his leadership qualities and work ethic. By securing Frederic for the long term, the Oilers are investing in a player who can contribute both on and off the ice, potentially mentoring younger players and fostering a strong team culture.
Cons
- Contract Term and Risk: The most significant concern surrounding the Frederic extension is the length of the contract. Eight years is a substantial commitment for a player who projects as a bottom-six forward. Long-term deals for power forward-type players have historically not aged well. There is a risk that Frederic's performance may decline as he gets older, making the contract a potential burden on the team's salary cap in later years.
- Salary Cap Implications: With an AAV of $3.85 million, Frederic's contract takes up a significant portion of the Oilers' salary cap. The Oilers have limited cap space, especially with key players like Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard also due for contract extensions. Frederic's contract reduces the flexibility to make other roster improvements. The Oilers had to trade Evander Kane to create cap space, and may need to move on from other players to manage the cap.
- Inconsistent Performance and Injury Concerns: Frederic's performance has been inconsistent, and he has struggled with injuries. He was hampered by an ankle injury. There are concerns about whether he can consistently perform at the level the Oilers are expecting. If Frederic fails to live up to expectations, the Oilers could be stuck with an overpaid player for several years.
Overall, the Trent Frederic extension is a calculated gamble by the Edmonton Oilers. While Frederic's versatility, physicality, and potential for offensive upside are appealing, the length of the contract and the salary cap implications are potential drawbacks. Ultimately, the success of this extension will depend on Frederic's ability to stay healthy and perform consistently over the next eight years.