Recent analysis indicates that XRP (Ripple) is showing signs of a potential rebound, with some analysts predicting a surge of up to 20% in August. This optimistic outlook is supported by technical indicators and developments surrounding Ripple's ongoing legal battle with the SEC.
Several factors contribute to this potential upswing. A falling wedge pattern has appeared on XRP's chart, which is considered a bullish reversal pattern. If confirmed, a breakout above the wedge's upper resistance, around $3.07, could trigger a rally towards the $3.60–$3.65 range. Currently, XRP is trading around the $3.00 mark. The $3 level has acted as a support for XRP in the past.
However, not all indicators are unilaterally positive. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) show mixed signals, suggesting potential short-term consolidation. Key support levels to watch include $2.76 (50-day EMA) and the $2.79–$2.95 zone. Resistance levels are at $3.07 (Fibonacci), $3.32 (swing high), and $3.65 (July peak).
The broader crypto market is also experiencing significant shifts. There's a growing sentiment that crypto companies are beginning to "reshore" to the United States, driven by a potentially friendlier regulatory environment. SEC Chair Paul Atkins has emphasized the need to bring crypto firms back to the U.S. and has announced "Project Crypto," aimed at modernizing the SEC's approach to digital finance. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has even called the current U.S. crypto environment a "golden age".
These developments are already influencing business decisions, with companies like Kraken and MoonPay expanding their U.S. operations. A Deloitte survey indicated that 99% of CFOs at large corporations plan to use crypto in their business strategies long-term, although concerns about price volatility, accounting complexity, and regulatory uncertainty remain.
Other altcoins are also showing strong performance. Bitcoin (BTC) has reclaimed the spotlight, briefly surpassing $123,000, supported by billions in ETF inflows. SUI, a Layer-1 blockchain, has surged more than 40% in July, driven by developer adoption and ecosystem expansion. Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has also seen a surge, breaking past $580, with analysts predicting a breakout towards the $620–$680 range.
However, increased income tax on crypto asset sales made on domestic exchanges in Indonesia from 0.1% to 0.21% and on foreign crypto exchanges from 0.2% to 1% may impact the market.
Overall, the cryptocurrency market presents a mixed bag of opportunities and risks. XRP's potential for a 20% surge in August is contingent on breaking through resistance levels and positive developments in its legal battle. The return of crypto companies to the U.S. and growing institutional interest signal a maturing market, but regulatory hurdles and volatility remain key concerns.