Indiana Governor Mike Braun has stated that there are "no commitments" regarding mid-decade redistricting, despite growing pressure from the White House. The issue may be discussed during Vice President JD Vance's upcoming visit to the state.
Braun, whose role as governor is constitutionally weaker relative to the legislature, indicated that redistricting would be a "broad conversation" with the speaker and president pro tem. He also commented on the irony of those "raising the most Cain about it" being those who have allegedly gerrymandered their own states.
Vance's potential trip to Indianapolis on Thursday is expected to include discussions with Braun and other Republican leaders about redrawing Indiana's congressional map. This exploration is part of a broader push by the White House and GOP allies to create more Republican-leaning seats across the country. Currently, Indiana Republicans hold seven of the state's nine congressional seats.
Republicans are hoping to flip one of the Democrat seats. One potential target for redistricting is Representative Frank Mrvan, a Democrat representing the 1st Congressional District, which includes Gary and its surrounding suburbs. While some Republicans believe they could also target Representative Andre Carson, who represents an Indianapolis-based district, most Indiana experts view this as unlikely.
However, the Indiana legislature could present a significant obstacle to mid-decade redistricting. Sources suggest that legislative leaders in Indiana, who are described as more aligned with former Vice President Mike Pence than the MAGA movement, may not have the appetite for such a move.
Several other states are also engaging in redistricting debates. In Texas, a fierce battle is underway as Republicans aim to create five new favorable districts, facing opposition from Democrats attempting to prevent a legislative quorum. Meanwhile, in California, Democrats are reportedly considering a new congressional map that could potentially gain them as many as five seats in 2026. Governor Gavin Newsom is considering asking voters to scrap the state's independent redistricting commission.
Some view these efforts to redraw congressional maps mid-cycle as a dangerous stunt that could cause permanent damage to democracy. It could also undermine the state's Citizens Redistricting Commission (CRC), which has become the gold standard for a fair redistricting process.
Past redistricting efforts in other states have faced legal challenges, with accusations of "extreme partisan gerrymandering". Christopher Warshaw, associate professor of political science at George Washington University, observed that Indiana is one of the most extreme examples of gerrymandering in the country.