In recent developments, Pakistan has accused India of disrupting the natural flow of the Chenab River, raising concerns about potential violations of the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) and the impact on Pakistan's agricultural sector. Pakistani officials have expressed serious concerns over "abrupt variations" in the river's flow, attributing the changes to unilateral actions by India.
The Chenab River is a major water source originating in India and allocated to Pakistan under the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty (IWT). The treaty, brokered by the World Bank, governs the distribution and use of the Indus River and its tributaries between the two countries.
Pakistani officials claim that India has been manipulating the river's flow, particularly during critical agricultural periods, posing a threat to the livelihoods and economic security of Pakistani citizens. According to reports, the flow of the Chenab River reportedly surged to 58,300 cusecs on December 8 after India released water from its dams. Conversely, officials from Pakistan's Punjab province have noted instances of drastically reduced water inflow on other days, causing difficulties for farmers who rely on the river for irrigation.
In response to the perceived changes in the river's flow, Pakistan's Indus Commissioner has reportedly written to his Indian counterpart seeking clarification. Pakistan's Foreign Office has also stated that a formal communication has been sent to India regarding the matter. They are urging India to address the concerns raised, avoid unilateral changes to the river flow, and uphold its commitments under the Indus Waters Treaty.
Adding to the complexity of the situation, reports indicate that India suspended the IWT in April after a terror attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. While India has not officially commented on the recent accusations, a former official suggested that India might be considering "flushing" projects without obligation while the treaty is on pause. Pakistan, however, maintains that the treaty remains in effect and cannot be unilaterally suspended. They have warned that disrupting Pakistan's water share would be considered "an act of war".
Experts suggest that while India cannot permanently stop the water flow, it can regulate the timing of releases. However, even small changes in timing can disrupt sowing schedules and reduce crop yields.
The Pakistani government has called on the international community to take note of the situation, describing India's actions as a threat to regional peace and stability. They emphasize the importance of upholding the Indus Waters Treaty as an instrument of peace, security, and stability in the region.
