The Indian political landscape is witnessing a fresh round of debate surrounding the upcoming 16th Census of India, slated for 2027. The core of the contention lies in the perceived absence of the word "caste" in the official notification for the census, prompting the opposition to question the intentions of Prime Minister Modi's government. This decennial exercise, which was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, is set to include caste enumeration for the first time since 1931, making it a politically sensitive and socially significant undertaking.
The notification for Census 2027 was issued on June 16, 2025, outlining a two-phase approach. The first phase, the House Listing Operation (HLO), will focus on gathering data related to housing conditions, assets, and amenities. The second phase, Population Enumeration (PE), will collect demographic, socio-economic, cultural, and other personal details from every individual. While the government has stated that caste enumeration will be part of the census, the omission of the explicit term in the notification has raised eyebrows.
Opposition parties have seized on this ambiguity, alleging a potential change of heart by the government regarding the caste census. They argue that the absence of the word "caste" in the notification signals a lack of commitment to a comprehensive and transparent enumeration process. Some leaders have pointed to the government's initial reluctance to include caste data, suggesting a possible attempt to downplay the significance of this aspect of the census.
Conversely, the government has maintained that its intentions are clear and that caste enumeration will indeed be conducted. Proponents highlight that the census will be carried out digitally, using mobile applications, and will include a provision for self-enumeration. They emphasize that stringent data security measures will be in place to ensure the confidentiality and integrity of the collected information. Union Home Minister Amit Shah had reviewed the preparations for the census, which will deploy approximately 3.4 million enumerators and supervisors, supported by 130,000 census functionaries equipped with digital devices.
The inclusion of caste enumeration in the 2027 census has far-reaching implications. The data generated will serve as a crucial resource for policymakers, enabling targeted welfare programs and informed decisions on reservation policies, education, and economic development. Furthermore, the census data is essential for delimitation exercises, which involve redrawing electoral boundaries and allocating parliamentary seats based on population changes.
The opposition has long advocated for a nationwide caste census, viewing it as a necessary step towards achieving social justice and empowering marginalized communities. Several states, including Bihar, have already conducted their own caste-based surveys, underscoring the importance of this issue at the regional level. The central government's decision to include caste enumeration in the national census has been hailed by some as a victory for these efforts.
However, concerns remain regarding the government's motives and the potential for political manipulation of the data. Some critics argue that the timing of the census, with the reference date set as March 1, 2027 (and October 1, 2026, for snow-bound areas), could influence the delimitation process and affect the outcome of future elections. Others have expressed reservations about the public release of caste data, fearing that it could exacerbate social divisions.
Despite these concerns, the 2027 census represents a significant opportunity to gather comprehensive data on India's diverse population, including its caste composition. The data collected will be vital for evidence-based policymaking and for addressing the persistent inequalities that exist within Indian society. The debate surrounding the "missing" word highlights the political sensitivities surrounding caste and the importance of ensuring a transparent and credible census process. As India prepares for this monumental undertaking, it is imperative that all stakeholders engage in constructive dialogue to ensure that the census serves its intended purpose: to provide an accurate and inclusive snapshot of the nation's demographic realities.