Overnight shifts in Indian stock market: Gift Nifty, US Fed, trade, and gold price impacts explored.
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Here's a breakdown of the key factors influencing the Indian stock market overnight:

1. Global Market Cues:

  • Mixed Global Signals: Indian stock markets are taking cues from mixed global market trends.
  • Asian Markets: Asian markets have shown a mix of positive and negative trading.
  • US Markets: On Monday, US equities closed higher, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting intraday record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 49.23 points (0.11%) to close at 45,883.45. The S&P 500 was up by 30.99 points (0.47%), ending at 6,615.28. The Nasdaq Composite was trading higher by 207.65 points (0.94%), finishing at 22,348.75. Earlier last week, Wall Street's main indexes closed mixed, with the Nasdaq attaining a new record high close.

2. GIFT Nifty:

  • Flat Start Indicator: GIFT Nifty was trading around 25,161, which is slightly lower than the previous Nifty futures close. This hinted at a potentially lackluster start for the Indian markets. Another report mentioned GIFT Nifty trading around 25,085, a slight premium, suggesting a flat opening.

3. US Federal Reserve (US Fed) Meeting:

  • Interest Rate Decision: The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut. Traders have priced in a high probability (96%) of this move.
  • Investor Caution: Indian investors are displaying caution in anticipation of the US Fed's policy decision.
  • Rupee Impact: The Indian rupee has strengthened against the US dollar due to the dollar's weakness ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.

4. Trade Talk Developments:

  • US Trade Negotiations: Progress in trade discussions between the US and both China and India is boosting investor confidence. Investors are closely monitoring progress on the India-US trade deal.
  • India-EU Trade Deal: Developments surrounding the India-EU trade deal are also under scrutiny.

5. Gold Prices:

  • Slight Increase: Spot gold was trading 0.1% higher at $3,680.17/oz. US gold futures were trading flat at $3,718.80.
  • Monitoring Policy Outlook: Investors are watching for cues on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook, especially with the Jackson Hole symposium approaching.

Additional Factors:

  • Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices have increased due to Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries, raising concerns about potential supply disruptions.
  • Domestic Market Performance: On Monday, Indian indices closed in the red: Sensex slumped by 118.96 points (0.15%) to close at 81,785.74; Nifty 50 moved down by 44.80 points (0.18%) to settle at 25,069.20. However, earlier last week, the Indian stock market closed higher, with the Nifty 50 finishing above the 25,100 mark.
  • FII Flows & Macro Data: Foreign fund flows and key domestic macroeconomic data are being closely monitored by investors.
  • Sectoral Trends: On Monday, weakness in IT and auto shares dragged benchmarks lower.

Written By
With a keen interest in sports and community events, Rahul is launching his journalism career by covering stories that unite people. He's focused on developing his reporting skills, capturing the excitement of local competitions and the spirit of community gatherings. Rahul aims to go beyond scores and outcomes, delving into athletes' personal stories and the impact of these events on local culture and morale. His passion for sports drives him to explore the deeper connections within the community.
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