While a meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump might seem like a potential avenue for resolving the Russia-Ukraine war, a different world leader is emerging as a more likely candidate: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Modi's recent engagements and India's unique position on the global stage suggest he could be instrumental in bringing both sides to the negotiating table.

India's unique position

Since the beginning of the conflict, India has carefully maintained a neutral stance, abstaining from condemning Russia while simultaneously providing humanitarian aid to Ukraine. This balancing act stems from India's long-standing strategic partnership with Russia, particularly concerning defense and energy. Despite pressure from the West, India has avoided public condemnation of Russia, prioritizing its own interests and maintaining open communication channels with both Moscow and Kyiv.

This approach has allowed India to strengthen its global standing, particularly in the Global South, and has kept alive the possibility of Delhi acting as a trusted mediator. Unlike other potential mediators, such as Switzerland or Saudi Arabia, India is viewed by Kyiv as a neutral party capable of engaging with both Moscow and the West.

Modi's diplomatic efforts

Prime Minister Modi has been actively involved in diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict. He has maintained regular contact with both Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, urging dialogue and diplomacy. In a meeting with Putin in Samarkand, Modi stated that "this is not a time for war," a sentiment that has become a key message in India's approach.

Modi's efforts have been recognized and appreciated by both sides. Zelenskyy has publicly thanked Modi for India's dedication to peace and has called on India to play a greater role in fostering peace. Putin has also acknowledged India's potential as a mediator, citing the trust between New Delhi and Moscow.

China's complex role

While China has also been suggested as a potential mediator, its position is more complex. China maintains close ties with Russia and has provided economic support, which some view as indirect support for Moscow's campaign. Ukraine has accused Beijing of tilting towards Moscow, particularly through the supply of components used in weapons production. Zelenskyy has stated that only countries that have supported Ukraine since the invasion can be trusted with a mediation role, seemingly excluding China.

Why Modi?

Several factors contribute to Modi's potential as a mediator:

• Neutrality: India's non-condemnatory stance towards Russia, coupled with its humanitarian support for Ukraine, positions it as a neutral player.
• Strong relationships: Modi has a rapport with both Putin and Zelenskyy, allowing him to communicate effectively with both sides.
• Commitment to peace: India has consistently advocated for a peaceful resolution through dialogue and diplomacy.
• Global influence: India's growing economic and political influence gives it the leverage to bring parties to the table and potentially offer guarantees for any peace agreement.

Challenges and opportunities

Despite these advantages, challenges remain. India has maintained that it won't initiate any peace process on its own and will only mediate if asked to by both parties. For India to play a role, it is crucial that both Zelenskyy and Putin agree to its involvement.

Nevertheless, the ongoing conflict presents India with an opportunity to shape the architecture of European security and strengthen its position as a global power. By leveraging its unique position and diplomatic skills, India, under the leadership of PM Modi, may well emerge as the key to unlocking a peaceful resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war.