The stage is set in Visakhapatnam for the series-deciding ODI clash between India and South Africa, but the bowlers might be 'dew' for a challenging night. The pivotal match today might hinge on which bowling attack can best navigate the conditions, especially the notorious evening dew.
Both teams have demonstrated their batting firepower in the preceding matches, with each side successfully chasing down significant totals. In the first ODI, India defended a total of 349, winning by 17 runs. South Africa responded emphatically in the second, chasing down a target of 358 to level the series.
The ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium in Visakhapatnam is known for its batting-friendly pitch, which typically offers true bounce and pace, allowing batsmen to play their shots freely. However, as the game progresses, spinners tend to find assistance from the surface. But the major factor which could dictate the outcome of the match is the dew.
The presence of dew in the evening makes the ball wet and slippery, which makes it difficult for bowlers, especially spinners, to grip the ball and control their variations. This can lead to bowlers struggling with their lengths and variations. The captain who wins the toss will likely opt to bowl first, hoping to exploit the batting-friendly conditions early on and then chase under the influence of dew.
For India, the form of Virat Kohli is a major positive. He has been in scintillating form, scoring back-to-back centuries. Alongside Kohli, Rohit Sharma's experience and Ruturaj Gaikwad's recent century add stability to the batting lineup. However, the middle order's inability to capitalize on good starts has been a concern. Changes in the playing XI could be on the cards, with Rishabh Pant or Tilak Varma potentially replacing Washington Sundar to bolster the batting. In the bowling department, Nitish Kumar Reddy may replace Prasidh Krishna, who has been expensive in recent outings.
South Africa will rely on their strong batting lineup, particularly the in-form top order. Aiden Markram's century in the previous match demonstrated his ability to perform under pressure. Matthew Breetzke and Dewald Brevis have also shown glimpses of their potential. The team will also rely on Marco Jansen's all-round abilities. His bowling with the new ball and his power-hitting lower down the order can be valuable assets.
The head-to-head record between the two teams in ODIs slightly favors South Africa, who have won 52 of the 96 matches played. India has won 41, while 3 matches ended with no result. However, recent form suggests a closely contested battle, with India winning three of the last five encounters.
The weather forecast for Visakhapatnam indicates a clear day with temperatures around 26 degrees Celsius and humidity between 60-65%. The wind speed is expected to be moderate, around 14 km/h. These conditions are likely to favor batsmen, further emphasizing the importance of a strong bowling performance under pressure.
Both teams will need to hold their nerves and execute their plans effectively. While the batsmen will look to maximize their scoring opportunities, the bowlers will need to find ways to counter the dew and extract whatever assistance they can from the pitch. The team that does this better will likely emerge victorious and claim the series.
