The 2025 NHL trade deadline was rife with speculation, but one rumour stood out for Toronto Maple Leafs fans: a potential blockbuster deal sending Mitch Marner to the Carolina Hurricanes for Mikko Rantanen. The trade never materialized, as Marner refused to waive his no-movement clause. Ultimately, Rantanen was dealt to the Dallas Stars, and Marner was traded to the Vegas Golden Knights in June in exchange for center Nicolas Roy. But what if Marner had agreed to the trade?
At the time, Marner was in the final year of his contract, and while he was having a strong season, his future with the Leafs was uncertain. The Maple Leafs reportedly offered Marner a contract extension that would have paid him more than Rantanen's recent deal, but negotiations stalled. Meanwhile, Rantanen was a proven Stanley Cup winner with the Colorado Avalanche, a winger known for his heavy minutes, physicality, and consistent offensive production, especially in the playoffs.
If Marner had waived his no-movement clause, the Maple Leafs would have acquired a player perfectly suited for a deep playoff run. Rantanen's playing style is characterized by strong puck battles and a knack for scoring in critical moments. Imagine Rantanen slotting into the Leafs' top six, playing alongside Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Matthews would likely draw the toughest defensive assignments, potentially freeing up Nylander and Rantanen to exploit mismatches.
However, it's crucial to consider why the Hurricanes were willing to part with Rantanen in the first place. Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reported that the Hurricanes were hesitant to trade Rantanen to an Eastern Conference team, fearing a potential playoff matchup. This suggests that even with Marner's approval, the trade might have still fallen through due to Carolina's concerns.
The consequences of Marner accepting the trade would have been far-reaching. The Leafs would have acquired a proven playoff performer in Rantanen, potentially altering their trajectory in the 2025 playoffs and beyond. Instead, the Leafs traded Marner to the Golden Knights in June.
Marner's decision also affected his legacy in Toronto. Some fans view him as the star who refused to be traded for Rantanen, a move that could haunt both the player and the franchise for years to come. This perception is amplified by Rantanen's success with the Stars, who are currently a top contender in the Western Conference.
Ultimately, the "what if" surrounding the Marner-Rantanen trade serves as a reminder of the complex factors involved in NHL trades, including player preferences, team strategies, and the ever-present salary cap. While it's impossible to know for sure what would have happened if Marner had agreed to the trade, it's clear that it would have significantly altered the course of the Maple Leafs' season and potentially their long-term future.
