Ethereum (ETH) is exhibiting strong bullish signals, with analysts predicting a potential rally to $10,000 based on emerging chart patterns. One prominent pattern, known as a "megaphone" or broadening formation, suggests widening price swings with progressively higher highs and lower lows. A confirmed breakout above resistance in this pattern often leads to explosive rallies.
Currently, ETH faces immediate resistance at the $5,000 level. Surpassing this threshold could trigger the liquidation of an estimated $5 billion in cumulative short positions, potentially fueling the megaphone rally. However, failure to overcome the $5,000 resistance could lead to a pullback towards the 12-week simple moving average (SMA) near $3,500 or the pattern's lower support at $3,000, coinciding with the 25-weekly SMA.
Volume confirmation is crucial in determining the validity of the breakout, as weak participation raises the risk of a false breakout. Crypto trader Merlijn has highlighted a dense sell wall near $5,100, a level that "whales dream about," anticipating that liquidity at this zone could attract price action and liquidate over-leveraged short positions.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, analyst Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has revealed that he has started buying Ethereum again, suggesting it could reach $20,000 this cycle. This confidence is further supported by increasing institutional inflows into Ethereum ETFs and strategic portfolio rebalancing by Bitcoin whales, who are shifting significant holdings into Ethereum.
Technical analysis from Investtech indicates that Ethereum has broken the floor of a rising trend channel in the medium-long term, suggesting a weaker initial rising rate. However, the analysis also notes the absence of resistance in the price chart, indicating the potential for further rise, with support around $4,000.
Other analysts point to different targets based on various technical patterns and indicators. For instance, one analyst has identified a four-year bullish megaphone pattern, projecting a surge towards $6,800 - $7,000. Sheila Belson, in a Coinotag analysis, noted that Ethereum's breakout and retest of $4,270 has validated the megaphone structure, with measured extensions pointing to $6,800 - $7,000, and $4,800 as the immediate resistance.
Multiple analysts predict even more ambitious targets for Ethereum in 2025. Based on the current price action and market sentiment, Ethereum is predicted to reach $5,200 - $5,700 by early September. Moreover, some analysts forecast that ETH could reach between $5,000 and $10,000 by the end of 2025. Factors supporting this bullish outlook include strong technical upgrades, increasing institutional demand, and a thriving decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
Conversely, some analysts suggest a potential September correction could send ETH down to $4,200 before a surge towards $6,800 in Q4. Historically, September has been a weak month for Ethereum returns, while the fourth quarter has consistently been the strongest.
Overall, the sentiment surrounding Ethereum remains largely positive, with many analysts anticipating significant price appreciation in the coming months and years. While short-term volatility is expected, the long-term outlook for Ethereum appears bullish, driven by technical factors, increasing adoption, and positive developments within the Ethereum ecosystem.