Whether Aster (ASTER) can sustain its price surge into October 2025 is a complex question with various factors at play. Recent news and analyses paint a mixed picture, with both bullish and bearish signals.
Recent Performance and Key Developments
Aster has been a standout performer in the DeFi space recently. In September 2025, the token experienced a massive rally, with price appreciation exceeding 2000% and its market capitalization reaching multi-billion dollar levels. This surge was fueled by bullish sentiment surrounding perpetual decentralized exchanges (DEXs), backing from Yzi Labs (formerly Binance Labs), and public support from Binance founder Changpeng Zhao. The platform's open interest spiked significantly, and its Total Value Locked (TVL) jumped substantially. Aster's 24-hour trading volume has, at times, surpassed that of major players like Hyperliquid.
However, Aster's price has also experienced volatility. After reaching an all-time high of around $2.43, it corrected by more than 25%. Concerns have also been raised about market manipulation and the concentration of ASTER's supply in a few wallets.
Factors Influencing October's Price
Several key factors could influence Aster's price in October:
- Season 2 Airdrop Vesting: Aster is considering vesting schedules for its Season 2 airdrop of 320 million ASTER tokens. The final decision, expected in early October, aims to reduce potential sell pressure after the airdrop. If vesting terms disappoint traders, it could create short-term uncertainty.
- Aster Chain Rollout: The upcoming launch of Aster's Layer 1 blockchain, which promises sub-second finality and ZK-powered privacy for derivatives trading, could be a major bullish catalyst. A successful launch could attract institutional flow and justify Aster's market cap. However, delays or bugs could reverse sentiment. The mainnet is expected in Q4 2025.
- Competition with Hyperliquid: Aster's high trading volume has led to comparisons with Hyperliquid. Maintaining its low-fee edge and user experience will be crucial for sustaining its volume leadership.
- Token Unlocks: A significant token unlock of 320 million ASTER by October 5 poses a risk of sell pressure if the tokens are unvested.
- Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis: Technical analysis suggests a possible retest of the $2.14 resistance level, with potential for a breakout. A break through $2 may send ASTER to a new record high. Some analysts predict Aster price will hit $3 in October if it bounces decisively from the $1.60-$1.80 area.
Price Predictions
Price predictions for Aster in October 2025 vary:
- CoinCodex predicts the price of Aster to drop by -24.77% and reach $ 1.54 by October 25, 2025.
- Other analyses suggest a potential trading range of $1.70 to $2.00 in early October, with a possible breakout above $2.14 later in the month.
- A potential measured move toward $2.22–$2.45 is projected in October if a falling wedge pattern is confirmed.
Overall Outlook
The potential for Aster's price to rise again in October is contingent on several factors, including the implementation of vesting for the Season 2 airdrop, the successful rollout of the Aster Chain, and its ability to maintain a competitive edge over rivals like Hyperliquid. While technical analysis suggests potential for upward movement, the risk of token unlocks and market volatility remain.
Some analysts believe that Aster could reach new all-time highs in October, while others are more cautious, citing potential downside risks.
Disclaimer: It is important to note that cryptocurrency investments are inherently risky, and these predictions should not be taken as financial advice.
