Here's a look at ten key factors influencing the Indian stock market as of today, November 12, 2025:
1. GIFT Nifty Signals Positive Start: GIFT Nifty futures were trading around 25,979, suggesting a gap-up opening for the Nifty 50. This indicates positive sentiment carried over from overnight trading.
2. US Government Shutdown Developments: Optimism surrounding a potential resolution to the US government shutdown is boosting global market sentiment. The US stock market has responded positively to these developments.
3. India-US Trade Deal Progress: Hopes for a trade deal between India and the US are on the rise after President Trump indicated that an agreement to lower tariffs on Indian goods was close. This has particularly boosted confidence in export-linked sectors. Indian imports to the U.S. currently face 50% tariffs, primarily due to a penalty duty of 25% over New Delhi's purchase of Russian oil.
4. India's Inflation Data: Investors are closely watching India's consumer inflation data, with expectations that retail inflation may have hit a 10-year low in October due to falling food prices. This data will likely influence the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) future monetary policy decisions. October CPI inflation data will be closely watched, as it is expected to influence the Reserve Bank of India's future monetary policy stance.
5. Global Market Cues: US markets closed higher, and Asian markets traded mixed, providing supportive cues for domestic equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all saw gains.
6. Technical Outlook for Nifty: Analysts suggest the Nifty remains on track for the 25,850–25,980 range. However, resistance near 25,726 could limit further upside, with support levels placed at 25,200 and 25,088. A move above 25,800 could trigger further upside momentum, while a fall below 25,400 may indicate weakness.
7. FII/DII Activity: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) were net buyers. Sustained buying from FII flows is expected to provide support to the market.
8. Sectoral Performance: IT and financial stocks are showing strength, while metal and realty sectors are experiencing pressure.
9. Rupee Desk - USD/INR: Currently trading at 88.60. Meanwhile, the RBI remains active in stabilising the currency and bond markets amid the impact of recent U.S. tariff measures.
10. Key Stock Movements: * Sensex gained by 319.07 points (0.38%) to close at 83,535.35. * Nifty 50 moved up by 82.05 points (0.32%) to settle at 25,574.35. * Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, and ETERNAL gained up to 6%, leading the rally. * Shriram Finance and JSW Steel were among the laggards, shedding up to 1%.
