Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated following a recent terror attack in Jammu and Kashmir's Pahalgam, where 26 people were killed. The attack has triggered outrage in India, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowing retribution.

In response to the attack, the Indian Air Force (IAF) is scheduled to conduct a significant military exercise in Rajasthan, near the International Border with Pakistan. Furthermore, the Union Home Ministry has directed all states to conduct drills, starting Wednesday night, to address "new and complex threats" arising from the heightened tensions. These drills will encompass approximately 300 'civil defence districts' that house sensitive installations, including nuclear plants and military bases. The exercises will simulate air-raid warnings and train civilians on how to respond to a "hostile attack".

The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) has addressed the rising tensions between India and Pakistan in closed-door consultations. Envoys have called for de-escalation and dialogue. However, Pakistan's Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Ambassador Asim Iftikhar Ahmad, asserted that while Pakistan does not seek confrontation, it is "fully prepared to defend our sovereignty and territorial integrity". Pakistan has also raised concerns regarding India's suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty of 1960.

Amidst the escalating tensions, Pakistan conducted a successful training launch of a surface-to-surface ballistic missile, named the Abdali Weapon System, which has a range of 450km. This test occurred shortly after Pakistan's Information Minister claimed to have "credible intelligence" suggesting an imminent Indian military strike.

The current Indian government, under Narendra Modi, has adopted a more assertive approach towards Pakistan. This approach involves isolating Pakistan and delivering a "decisive blow". Some analysts believe that if the "Modi Doctrine" is followed, Pakistan will face action. This doctrine, as demonstrated by the 2016 surgical strikes and the 2019 Balakot airstrike, emphasizes retaliation against terrorist groups responsible for attacks against India.

The situation remains highly volatile, with the potential for further escalation. A 2019 study has resurfaced, predicting a nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan in 2025, triggered by a major terror attack. The study outlines a scenario where escalating skirmishes lead to the use of nuclear weapons by both sides, resulting in catastrophic global consequences.