As the sixth anniversary of the abrogation of Article 370 approaches on August 5, 2025, concerns are mounting regarding Pakistan's plans to disseminate disinformation surrounding the event. The abrogation, which revoked the special status of Jammu and Kashmir and bifurcated the state into two Union Territories on August 5, 2019, remains a contentious issue. Pakistan has consistently criticized the action and is expected to use the anniversary to amplify its narrative against India.
Pakistan is likely to employ a multi-pronged strategy, leveraging social media, diplomatic channels, and international forums to spread its message. Social media campaigns, using hashtags like "RedKashmir", are expected to generate a storm of anti-India sentiment. These campaigns often involve spreading misinformation about human rights violations and the state of affairs in Jammu and Kashmir. Pakistani agencies may attempt to instigate unrest among the youth in the region through online platforms.
In the past, Pakistan has used toolkits to mobilize global forces, lobbying an anti-India agenda through protests, candle marches outside Indian embassies, and coordinated Twitter activity. Influencers, activists, NGOs, government agencies, and diplomats may be roped in to disseminate propaganda. A key part of Pakistan's agenda involves demanding the release of individuals they term "political prisoners" in Jammu and Kashmir.
Pakistan's embassies across the world may also play a role in circulating drafted messages on social media. These messages often call for India to reverse its actions since August 5, 2019, cease alleged oppression and human rights violations, and halt demographic changes in the region.
To counter these efforts, the Indian government is likely to take several steps. Security agencies have been put on high alert in Jammu and Kashmir to prevent any untoward incidents. There are advisories to observe a "dry day" with no movement of security convoys on August 5th. Indian agencies are expected to actively counter Pakistan's propaganda on social media and ensure that it does not incite violence or unrest in the region. The government may also use diplomatic channels to expose Pakistan's disinformation campaign and highlight the actual progress and development in Jammu and Kashmir since the abrogation of Article 370.
India has, in the past, refuted Pakistan's false claims with facts, exposing the misinformation peddled by Pakistani state agencies. This includes highlighting doctored videos and images, and unverified claims made by Pakistani officials.
The anniversary of Article 370's abrogation is a sensitive time, and the potential for misinformation to inflame tensions is high. It is crucial to remain vigilant and discerning, relying on verified sources of information and avoiding the amplification of unsubstantiated claims.